1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.01 1.04
## LDevsum 1.03 1.03
## dh0 1.18 1.64
## dh1 2.99 6.93
## dh2 4.48 9.72
## dl0 1.11 1.43
## dl1 2.17 4.55
## dl2 3.02 6.23
## dl3 1.15 1.55
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 2.93
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1227.54301 | 23434.02 |
| DIC3 | 1162.80834 | 20673.75 |
| PWAIC | 46.27266 | 1002.20 |
| WAIC | 1192.59910 | 21062.58 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.00 1.01
## LDevsum 1.00 1.02
## dh0 1.23 1.79
## dh1 1.12 1.40
## dh2 1.02 1.09
## dl0 1.11 1.12
## dl1 1.15 1.51
## dl2 1.03 1.11
## dl3 1.19 1.37
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.21
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H2 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1377.52079 |
| DIC3 | 1247.01158 |
| PWAIC | 90.84391 |
| WAIC | 1316.35844 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum 1.01 1.03
## LDevsum 1.00 1.02
## dl0 1.11 1.12
## dl1 1.15 1.51
## dl2 1.03 1.11
## dl3 1.19 1.37
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.08
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L7 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 23110.679 |
| DIC3 | 20729.655 |
| PWAIC | 1040.447 |
| WAIC | 21133.344 |