1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

• 300000 iteration;
  
• 200000 burn-in;
  
• 100 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.01       1.04
## LDevsum       1.03       1.03
## dh0           1.18       1.64
## dh1           2.99       6.93
## dh2           4.48       9.72
## dl0           1.11       1.43
## dl1           2.17       4.55
## dl2           3.02       6.23
## dl3           1.15       1.55
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 2.93

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

• Total deviance;
  
• Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

• 300000 iteration;
  
• 200000 burn-in;
  
• 100 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.01
## LDevsum       1.00       1.02
## dh0           1.23       1.79
## dh1           1.12       1.40
## dh2           1.02       1.09
## dl0           1.11       1.12
## dl1           1.15       1.51
## dl2           1.03       1.11
## dl3           1.19       1.37
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.21

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

• Total deviance;
  
• Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

• 300000 iteration;
  
• 200000 burn-in;
  
• 100 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum        1.01       1.03
## LDevsum       1.00       1.02
## dl0           1.11       1.12
## dl1           1.15       1.51
## dl2           1.03       1.11
## dl3           1.19       1.37
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.08

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

• Total deviance;
  
• Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results